Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 24 JUNE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Captain Tik Tok
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Forest Spy           2    60.0    1    0.00     1.0   78    76           78    +0
2    Princess Deb's       3    61.0    2    1.25     2.0   80    76           76    -4
3    Captain Tik Tok      5    58.0    3    1.75     0.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Siberian Steel       3    61.5    4    1.85     2.0   81    77           77    -4
5    European Summer      3    57.5    5    1.90     2.0   81    69           71    -10
6    Tuscan Gold          2    60.5    6    2.00     1.0   82    77           77    -5
7    Seattle Ripper       2    54.5    7    2.10     1.0   69    65           65    -4
8    Swiss Walt           4    51.5    8    2.35     2.5   71    56           61    -10
9    Storm Player         3    58.5    9    2.60     2.0   77    71           71    -6
10   Holocene             4    57.0    10   3.10     2.5   74    67           67    -7
11   Graduation Time      4    56.0    11   3.15     2.5   72    65           65    -7
12   Great Melody         3    58.0    12   3.90     2.0   74    70           70    -4
13   Abound               4    58.0    13   4.40     2.5   76    69           69    -7
14   Raptor Island        2    53.5    14   4.90     1.0   65    63           63    -2
15   Pomodoro Magic       5    56.5    15   5.15     0.0   71    71           71    +0
16   Ravilious            3    55.0    16   6.65     2.0   85    64           75    -10
99   Son Of Zeus          3    59.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     72           72    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Forest Spy 78 85 78 +7 1.0 -
2 Princess Deb's 80 80 76 +4 2.0 -
3 Captain Tik Tok Line 74 72 74 -2 0.0
4 Siberian Steel 81 80 77 +3 2.0 -
5 European Summer 81 77 71 +6 2.0 -
6 Tuscan Gold 82 84 77 +7 1.0 -
7 Seattle Ripper 69 59 65 -6 1.0 -
8 Swiss Walt 71 74 61 +13 2.5 -
9 Storm Player 77 75 71 +4 2.0 -
10 Holocene 74 76 67 +9 2.5 -
11 Graduation Time 72 70 65 +5 2.5 -
12 Great Melody 74 79 70 +9 2.0 -
13 Abound 76 77 69 +8 2.5 -
14 Raptor Island 65 61 63 -2 1.0 -
15 Pomodoro Magic 71 53 71 -18 0.0 -
16 Ravilious 85 81 75 +6 2.0 -
99 Son Of Zeus - 81 72 +9 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points