Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CAPE RACING SALES MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Approach Shot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 One Liner 2 57.0 1 0.00 1.0 - 64 6 +6 2 Walk With Me 3 57.0 2 0.05 2.0 - 62 62 +62 3 Lucy Rocket 4 57.5 3 0.45 2.5 70 62 62 -8 4 Maneki Neko 2 60.0 4 0.65 1.0 74 70 70 -4 5 Approach Shot 2 60.0 5 1.40 1.0 70 70 70 +0 6 Across The Bow 3 60.0 6 2.40 2.0 66 68 68 +2 7 Mrs Shackleton 2 57.5 7 3.40 1.0 53 65 65 +12 8 Phil The Fluter 2 57.0 8 3.70 1.0 - 64 64 +64 9 Master Incolor 3 57.0 9 6.70 2.0 - 62 62 +62 10 War Hawk 3 57.0 10 6.90 2.0 - 62 62 +62 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Liner | - | 88 | 6 | +82 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Walk With Me | - | 82 | 62 | +20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lucy Rocket | 70 | 69 | 62 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Maneki Neko | 74 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Approach Shot Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | ||
| 6 | Across The Bow | 66 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mrs Shackleton | 53 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Phil The Fluter | - | 83 | 64 | +19 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Master Incolor | - | 73 | 62 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | War Hawk | - | 75 | 62 | +13 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points