Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RaceCape Powered By Hollywoodbets CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 74 & below)
Line Horse
Ozark
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Prime Venture 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 74 68 68 -6 2 Shavout 4 61.5 2 0.75 0.5 72 77 77 +5 3 Ozark 4 55.5 3 1.50 0.5 64 64 64 +0 4 King Pelles 3 61.5 4 1.55 1.5 77 74 74 -3 5 My Bestie 7 61.5 5 1.65 0.0 73 77 77 +4 6 Naushon 3 58.5 6 2.15 1.5 66 68 68 +2 7 Faire Advantage 3 60.0 7 2.25 1.5 70 71 71 +1 8 Just Var 4 58.5 8 5.00 0.5 71 67 67 -4 9 Big Poppa 3 53.0 9 5.40 1.5 54 54 54 +0 10 Four Jacks 4 61.5 10 8.15 0.5 76 73 73 -3 11 Spring Flyer 3 54.0 11 16.15 1.5 62 56 56 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prime Venture | 74 | 78 | 68 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Shavout | 72 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ozark Line | 64 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | King Pelles | 77 | 122 | 74 | +48 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | My Bestie | 73 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Naushon | 66 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Faire Advantage | 70 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Just Var | 71 | 83 | 67 | +16 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Big Poppa | 54 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Four Jacks | 76 | 65 | 73 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Spring Flyer | 62 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points