Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAKING THE REINS CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Future Turn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Oliver 5 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 84 81 81 -3 2 Callmegetrix 4 55.0 2 0.50 0.5 89 81 81 -8 3 Magic Verse 3 57.0 3 0.90 1.0 87 83 83 -4 4 Fibonacci 2 57.0 4 2.40 0.0 88 83 83 -5 5 Future Turn 5 58.5 5 2.90 0.0 86 86 86 +0 6 Carriacou 3 55.5 6 3.20 1.0 81 78 78 -3 7 War Chariot 4 55.5 7 9.20 0.5 83 77 77 -6 8 Tout A Fait 3 61.5 8 9.70 1.0 94 88 88 -6 9 Speeding Bullet 2 54.0 9 9.90 0.0 80 75 75 -5 10 Machete Man 2 60.0 10 21.40 0.0 90 87 87 -3 99 Kitchakal 5 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 99 Aspect 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliver | 84 | 97 | 81 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Callmegetrix | 89 | 113 | 81 | +32 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Magic Verse | 87 | 115 | 83 | +32 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fibonacci | 88 | 73 | 83 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Future Turn Line | 86 | 78 | 86 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Carriacou | 81 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | War Chariot | 83 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tout A Fait | 94 | 80 | 88 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Speeding Bullet | 80 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Machete Man | 90 | 90 | 87 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kitchakal | - | 86 | 84 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Aspect | - | 93 | 84 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points