Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION PINNACLE STAKES (For all horses)
Line Horse
The Winter Lake
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jewel Cat 2 51.5 1 0.00 1.0 86 87 87 +1 2 The Winter Lake 4 60.0 2 0.75 2.5 101 101 101 +0 3 Evies First 7 60.0 3 2.50 0.0 99 106 106 +7 4 Destiny Of Souls 2 57.0 4 2.75 1.0 89 98 98 +9 5 Teatro 5 58.5 5 2.85 0.0 91 103 103 +12 6 Narcos 3 57.0 6 3.60 2.0 87 96 96 +9 7 Whatever Next 6 57.0 7 4.60 0.0 87 100 100 +13 8 First Origin 2 56.0 8 4.85 1.0 102 96 96 -6 9 Barzalona 6 58.5 9 4.95 0.0 93 103 103 +10 10 Ubisika 2 55.5 10 6.20 1.0 86 95 95 +9 11 Aussenkehr 2 60.0 11 6.45 1.0 100 104 104 +4 12 Cool Winter 2 55.5 12 6.55 1.0 85 95 95 +10 13 Tipsy Tina 2 57.0 13 6.65 1.0 91 98 98 +7 14 Aunty Lizzy 3 54.0 14 7.65 2.0 86 90 90 +4 15 Iron Bark 3 60.0 15 7.90 2.0 97 102 102 +5 16 Vegas Gold 3 55.5 16 17.15 2.0 84 93 93 +9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jewel Cat | 86 | 91 | 87 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | The Winter Lake Line | 101 | 87 | 101 | -14 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Evies First | 99 | 100 | 106 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Destiny Of Souls | 89 | 89 | 98 | -9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Teatro | 91 | 91 | 103 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Narcos | 87 | 86 | 96 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Whatever Next | 87 | 73 | 100 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | First Origin | 102 | 91 | 96 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Barzalona | 93 | 66 | 103 | -37 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ubisika | 86 | 80 | 95 | -15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Aussenkehr | 100 | 79 | 104 | -25 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Cool Winter | 85 | 78 | 95 | -17 | 1.0 | - | |
| 13 | Tipsy Tina | 91 | 91 | 98 | -7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 14 | Aunty Lizzy | 86 | 84 | 90 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Iron Bark | 97 | 96 | 102 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 16 | Vegas Gold | 84 | 83 | 93 | -10 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points