Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: DECLARATIONOFPEACE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Stevie Gee
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Brave Voyager 3 56.5 1 0.00 2.0 59 55 59 +0 2 Fate Of Fortune 3 57.5 2 0.05 2.0 64 57 57 -7 3 Stevie Gee 5 57.5 3 0.85 0.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Knight Warrior 5 61.0 4 0.90 0.0 68 68 68 +0 5 Hippocrates 3 60.5 5 2.60 2.0 67 63 63 -4 6 Victor Rail 5 57.0 6 2.75 0.0 60 60 60 +0 7 Brass Bell 8 56.0 7 4.05 0.0 58 58 58 +0 8 Poppy Of Bayeux 3 55.5 8 4.95 2.0 57 53 53 -4 9 Get Carter 4 52.0 9 10.45 2.5 48 45 45 -3 99 Love In Winter 4 61.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brave Voyager | 59 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fate Of Fortune | 64 | 77 | 57 | +20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Stevie Gee Line | 61 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Knight Warrior | 68 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Hippocrates | 67 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Victor Rail | 60 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Brass Bell | 58 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Poppy Of Bayeux | 57 | 57 | 53 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Get Carter | 48 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Love In Winter | - | 74 | 64 | +10 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points