Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ultra Quick
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 All The Time 3 58.0 1 0.00 1.5 78 75 78 +0 2 Rafa's Boy 2 54.0 2 1.00 0.5 78 69 69 -9 3 Gorgeous Guy 2 58.0 3 1.05 0.5 79 77 77 -2 4 Ultra Quick 6 58.0 4 1.55 0.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Voldemort 6 60.0 5 1.95 0.0 82 82 82 +0 6 Happy Wanderer 5 48.0 6 2.15 0.0 62 58 58 -4 7 Winter Waves 7 59.0 7 3.35 0.0 83 80 80 -3 8 Neitherherenorther 3 60.0 8 3.45 1.5 82 79 79 -3 9 Celtic Chief 3 59.5 9 4.15 1.5 82 78 78 -4 10 Licence To Thrill 4 58.5 10 4.75 2.0 80 75 75 -5 11 Blue Horizon 4 54.5 11 6.65 2.0 80 67 70 -10 99 United Nation 3 55.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | All The Time | 78 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Rafa's Boy | 78 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Gorgeous Guy | 79 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Ultra Quick Line | 78 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Voldemort | 82 | 81 | 82 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Happy Wanderer | 62 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Winter Waves | 83 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Neitherherenorther | 82 | 90 | 79 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Celtic Chief | 82 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Licence To Thrill | 80 | 98 | 75 | +23 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Blue Horizon | 80 | 84 | 70 | +14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | United Nation | - | 89 | 69 | +20 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points