Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Emerald Green
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 One Smart Cookie 4 59.0 1 0.00 2.0 75 75 75 +0 2 Emerald Green 4 55.5 2 0.15 2.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Rafeef's Choice 5 58.0 3 0.25 0.0 72 77 77 +5 4 Dawn Surprise 4 58.0 4 0.35 2.0 73 73 73 +0 5 Chelsea Flower 6 55.5 5 0.45 0.0 75 72 72 -3 6 Mamas Baby 4 55.5 6 1.35 2.0 68 68 68 +0 7 Shanta's Pride 3 58.0 7 2.95 1.5 80 74 74 -6 8 Kailene 3 60.0 8 3.85 1.5 79 78 78 -1 9 Princess Hannah 4 58.5 9 3.95 2.0 74 74 74 +0 10 Rapid Fire 4 59.0 10 4.45 2.0 74 75 75 +1 11 Time For Charity 5 51.0 11 4.75 0.0 66 63 63 -3 12 Maggie Smith 2 58.5 12 4.80 0.5 73 77 77 +4 13 Aspoestertjie 5 53.5 13 4.95 0.0 71 68 68 -3 14 Nellie Melba 4 60.5 14 7.25 2.0 78 78 78 +0 99 Littleblackvelvet 4 58.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Smart Cookie | 75 | 95 | 75 | +20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Emerald Green Line | 68 | 75 | 68 | +7 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Rafeef's Choice | 72 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dawn Surprise | 73 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chelsea Flower | 75 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mamas Baby | 68 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Shanta's Pride | 80 | 88 | 74 | +14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Kailene | 79 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Princess Hannah | 74 | 93 | 74 | +19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Rapid Fire | 74 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Time For Charity | 66 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Maggie Smith | 73 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Aspoestertjie | 71 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Nellie Melba | 78 | 68 | 78 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Littleblackvelvet | - | 77 | 73 | +4 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points