Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Tomyris
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gorgeous Girl 4 58.0 1 0.00 0.5 76 72 76 +0 2 Perilla 5 61.5 2 0.50 0.0 81 85 85 +4 3 Tomyris 4 58.0 3 0.80 0.5 76 76 76 +0 4 Green Valkyrie 4 57.0 4 0.85 0.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Umhlali 2 54.0 5 2.95 0.0 69 67 67 -2 6 Skytrix 3 58.0 6 3.20 1.0 76 73 73 -3 7 Colorado Creek 4 56.5 7 3.45 0.5 73 70 70 -3 8 Sparkling Jubilee 5 57.0 8 3.85 0.0 72 72 72 +0 9 Epic View 2 59.0 9 4.95 0.0 78 75 75 -3 10 Manic Monday 3 53.5 10 5.55 1.0 65 62 62 -3 11 Vermacilli 3 48.0 11 5.80 1.0 51 51 51 +0 12 Calling All Angels 2 53.5 12 6.20 0.0 66 64 64 -2 13 Flight Maneuver 3 59.0 13 13.10 1.0 78 73 73 -5 14 Gardenia 5 58.5 14 17.30 0.0 75 74 74 -1 99 Chichicastenango 3 58.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorgeous Girl | 76 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Perilla | 81 | 89 | 85 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tomyris Line | 76 | 93 | 76 | +17 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Green Valkyrie | 74 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Umhlali | 69 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Skytrix | 76 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Colorado Creek | 73 | 80 | 70 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sparkling Jubilee | 72 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Epic View | 78 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Manic Monday | 65 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Vermacilli | 51 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Calling All Angels | 66 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Flight Maneuver | 78 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 14 | Gardenia | 75 | 75 | 74 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chichicastenango | - | 76 | 71 | +5 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points