Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

Line Horse
Master Tik Tok
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Douglas Dragon       3    60.0    1    0.00     1.5   77    60           60    -17
2    Master Tik Tok       5    60.0    2    2.00     0.0   68    68           68    +0
3    Manz Knight          6    60.0    3    3.00     0.0   60    66           66    +6
4    Roll Of The Dice     3    60.0    4    3.05     1.5   67    63           63    -4
5    Clear The Path       4    56.0    5    3.25     0.5   -     57           57    +57
6    Oranjemund           4    60.0    6    3.75     0.5   -     64           64    +64
7    Battle Ofthe Bulge   4    60.0    7    4.85     0.5   -     62           62    +62
8    Mickey Blue Eyes     2    55.5    8    8.00     0.0   -     54           54    +54
9    Gold Fever           2    55.0    9    13.50    0.0   -     53           53    +53
10   Royal Albert         3    60.0    10   20.00    1.5   64    60           60    -4
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Douglas Dragon 77 89 60 +29 1.5 -
2 Master Tik Tok Line 68 80 68 +12 0.0
3 Manz Knight 60 60 66 -6 0.0 -
4 Roll Of The Dice 67 81 63 +18 1.5 -
5 Clear The Path - 65 57 +8 0.5 -
6 Oranjemund - 63 64 -1 0.5 -
7 Battle Ofthe Bulge - 60 62 -2 0.5 -
8 Mickey Blue Eyes - 72 54 +18 0.0 -
9 Gold Fever - 59 53 +6 0.0 -
10 Royal Albert 64 56 60 -4 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points