Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Master Tik Tok
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Douglas Dragon 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 77 60 60 -17 2 Master Tik Tok 5 60.0 2 2.00 0.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Manz Knight 6 60.0 3 3.00 0.0 60 66 66 +6 4 Roll Of The Dice 3 60.0 4 3.05 1.5 67 63 63 -4 5 Clear The Path 4 56.0 5 3.25 0.5 - 57 57 +57 6 Oranjemund 4 60.0 6 3.75 0.5 - 64 64 +64 7 Battle Ofthe Bulge 4 60.0 7 4.85 0.5 - 62 62 +62 8 Mickey Blue Eyes 2 55.5 8 8.00 0.0 - 54 54 +54 9 Gold Fever 2 55.0 9 13.50 0.0 - 53 53 +53 10 Royal Albert 3 60.0 10 20.00 1.5 64 60 60 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Dragon | 77 | 89 | 60 | +29 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Master Tik Tok Line | 68 | 80 | 68 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Manz Knight | 60 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Roll Of The Dice | 67 | 81 | 63 | +18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Clear The Path | - | 65 | 57 | +8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Oranjemund | - | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Battle Ofthe Bulge | - | 60 | 62 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Mickey Blue Eyes | - | 72 | 54 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gold Fever | - | 59 | 53 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Royal Albert | 64 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points