Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Moya Wa Laliga
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Licence To Thrill 4 61.5 1 0.00 2.0 77 75 77 +0 2 Moya Wa Laliga 3 62.0 2 2.50 1.5 77 77 77 +0 3 Happy Wanderer 5 50.5 3 3.70 0.0 62 57 57 -5 4 Mar Del Plata 2 61.5 4 3.90 0.5 77 78 78 +1 5 Anotherdayinafrica 6 52.0 5 4.20 0.0 53 60 60 +7 6 Masterbling 3 52.0 6 5.40 1.5 56 57 57 +1 7 Imperial Power 4 61.0 7 5.80 2.0 76 74 74 -2 8 Cotton Ron 6 54.5 8 6.10 0.0 61 65 65 +4 9 Plettenberg 3 54.5 9 6.25 1.5 71 62 62 -9 10 Fire Tonic 3 60.0 10 7.15 1.5 73 73 73 +0 11 Navajo Dancer 2 59.0 11 8.65 0.5 72 73 73 +1 12 Bless Me Fred 6 60.5 12 9.55 0.0 77 77 77 +0 13 Intrepid 3 58.0 13 9.60 1.5 77 69 69 -8 14 Sahara Dawn 4 58.0 14 12.70 2.0 70 68 68 -2 15 Dhow Solo 3 60.0 15 12.85 1.5 74 73 73 -1 99 Professor Lupin 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Licence To Thrill | 77 | 98 | 77 | +21 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Moya Wa Laliga Line | 77 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Happy Wanderer | 62 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mar Del Plata | 77 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Anotherdayinafrica | 53 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Masterbling | 56 | 74 | 57 | +17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Imperial Power | 76 | 89 | 74 | +15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cotton Ron | 61 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Plettenberg | 71 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Fire Tonic | 73 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Navajo Dancer | 72 | 56 | 73 | -17 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Bless Me Fred | 77 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Intrepid | 77 | 73 | 69 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Sahara Dawn | 70 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Dhow Solo | 74 | 62 | 73 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Professor Lupin | - | 67 | 72 | -5 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points