Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Hey Bill
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Deep Global 4 48.0 1 0.00 2.0 51 42 51 +0 2 Hey Bill 4 57.5 2 1.30 2.0 66 66 66 +0 3 Flying Grace 4 61.5 3 1.45 2.0 71 74 74 +3 4 Lord Minver 3 49.5 4 2.15 4.5 55 45 45 -10 5 Final Occasion 6 52.5 5 3.75 0.0 53 57 57 +4 6 Rocky Coast 6 54.5 6 4.55 0.0 57 60 60 +3 7 Winter Royale 4 56.0 7 4.70 2.0 60 59 59 -1 8 Techno Savvy 4 55.5 8 17.20 2.0 59 57 57 -2 99 Syx Hotfix 3 56.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deep Global | 51 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hey Bill Line | 66 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Flying Grace | 71 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lord Minver | 55 | 53 | 45 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Final Occasion | 53 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rocky Coast | 57 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Winter Royale | 60 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Techno Savvy | 59 | 62 | 57 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Syx Hotfix | - | 83 | 54 | +29 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points