Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 65 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Winter's Destiny
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Flower Season        5    56.5    1    0.00     0.0   58    64           58    +0
2    Winter's Destiny     3    58.5    2    0.30     2.5   68    68           68    +0
3    Leopard Lady         4    57.0    3    0.60     1.5   59    67           67    +8
4    Swiss Bank           4    59.5    4    1.10     1.5   64    71           71    +7
5    Royal Kitty          5    58.5    5    2.15     0.0   62    71           71    +9
6    Kileigh's Fate       4    53.0    6    2.45     1.5   54    56           56    +2
7    Zulu War Cry         4    50.0    7    3.65     1.5   50    49           49    -1
8    Capriccio            5    58.0    8    4.05     0.0   61    68           68    +7
9    Maid In France       4    57.0    9    6.65     1.5   64    62           62    -2
99   Purple Shadow        4    60.5    99   0.00     1.5   -     69           69    +0
99   Qaaraat              4    56.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     60           60    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Flower Season 58 54 58 -4 0.0 -
2 Winter's Destiny Line 68 86 68 +18 2.5
3 Leopard Lady 59 55 67 -12 1.5 -
4 Swiss Bank 64 64 71 -7 1.5 -
5 Royal Kitty 62 66 71 -5 0.0 -
6 Kileigh's Fate 54 48 56 -8 1.5 -
7 Zulu War Cry 50 53 49 +4 1.5 -
8 Capriccio 61 55 68 -13 0.0 -
9 Maid In France 64 57 62 -5 1.5 -
99 Purple Shadow - 62 69 -7 1.5 -
99 Qaaraat - 57 60 -3 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points