Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Master Forester
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Roomformanoeuvre 4 60.0 1 0.00 12.0 - 76 6 +6 2 Maneki Neko 2 60.0 2 2.00 7.0 72 86 86 +14 3 Master Forester 3 58.0 3 2.75 10.5 75 75 75 +0 4 Master Of Defense 3 60.0 4 3.25 10.5 60 79 79 +19 5 Flash Lightning 4 60.0 5 5.00 12.0 73 76 76 +3 6 Tyrons Vision 3 58.5 6 6.50 10.5 59 76 76 +17 7 American Pitbull 5 60.0 7 7.75 0.0 - 100 100 +100 8 Lennoxtown 2 58.0 8 8.75 7.0 - 82 82 +82 9 Kohana 2 58.0 9 10.00 7.0 - 82 82 +82 10 Glen Nevis 4 60.0 10 28.50 12.0 - 76 76 +76 11 Macarina Mambo 5 57.5 11 99.99 0.0 - 95 95 +95 99 Winning Captain 3 60.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 79 79 +0 99 Dynamite Jet 6 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 92 92 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roomformanoeuvre | - | 69 | 6 | +63 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Maneki Neko | 72 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Master Forester Line | 75 | 90 | 75 | +15 | 10.5 | ||
| 4 | Master Of Defense | 60 | 63 | 79 | -16 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Flash Lightning | 73 | 69 | 76 | -7 | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tyrons Vision | 59 | 53 | 76 | -23 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | American Pitbull | - | 62 | 100 | -38 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lennoxtown | - | 72 | 82 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kohana | - | 70 | 82 | -12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Glen Nevis | - | 37 | 76 | -39 | 12.0 | - | |
| 11 | Macarina Mambo | - | 48 | 95 | -47 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Winning Captain | - | 54 | 79 | -25 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Dynamite Jet | - | 43 | 92 | -49 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points