Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: EAST CAPE PADDOCK STAKES (Listed) (2nd Leg Eastern Cape F & M Challenge)
Line Horse
Official Secret
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rainbow Lorikeet 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 96 94 94 -2 2 Time For Love 4 59.0 2 0.75 7.0 94 85 85 -9 3 Luna Halo 4 58.5 3 1.50 7.0 106 83 96 -10 4 Official Secret 6 58.0 4 1.60 0.0 96 96 96 +0 5 Essential 4 57.5 5 1.70 7.0 87 81 81 -6 6 Woman's World 4 57.5 6 3.70 7.0 93 79 83 -10 7 Chere For Me 5 58.0 7 4.45 0.0 86 93 93 +7 8 Lady Mistico 2 58.0 8 6.70 0.0 82 93 93 +11 8 Time For Glory 2 58.0 8 6.70 0.0 75 93 93 +18 10 Strange Magic 5 58.0 10 6.95 0.0 84 93 93 +9 11 Rockie Reef 3 60.0 11 10.20 9.0 97 79 87 -10 12 Public Benefit 2 58.0 12 14.45 0.0 86 93 93 +7 13 Crimson Princess 4 58.0 13 20.70 7.0 99 79 89 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rainbow Lorikeet | 96 | 115 | 94 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Time For Love | 94 | 105 | 85 | +20 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Luna Halo | 106 | 106 | 96 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Official Secret Line | 96 | 103 | 96 | +7 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Essential | 87 | 91 | 81 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Woman's World | 93 | 94 | 83 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Chere For Me | 86 | 70 | 93 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lady Mistico | 82 | 75 | 93 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Time For Glory | 75 | 77 | 93 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Strange Magic | 84 | 69 | 93 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Rockie Reef | 97 | 97 | 87 | +10 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Public Benefit | 86 | 86 | 93 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Crimson Princess | 99 | 102 | 89 | +13 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points