Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 79 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Skytrix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Blue Horizon         4    58.5    1    0.00     6.0   77    80           77    +0
2    Skytrix              3    57.0    2    2.80     8.5   74    74           74    +0
3    Kisshoten            3    58.5    3    4.40     8.5   77    75           75    -2
4    Noble Storm          3    60.0    4    7.80     8.5   79    78           78    -1
5    Gorgeous Girl        4    59.5    5    7.90     6.0   79    82           82    +3
6    Dawn Surprise        4    56.5    6    8.80     6.0   73    76           76    +3
7    Twinklelittlestar    2    51.0    7    9.30     0.0   70    77           77    +7
8    Fabulous             2    59.5    8    10.60    0.0   78    94           94    +16
9    Aisling              3    55.5    9    11.40    8.5   70    69           69    -1
99   Pilot Flame          4    59.5    99   0.00     6.0   -     82           82    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Blue Horizon 77 84 77 +7 6.0 -
2 Skytrix Line 74 71 74 -3 8.5
3 Kisshoten 77 107 75 +32 8.5 -
4 Noble Storm 79 78 78 ✓ Match 8.5 -
5 Gorgeous Girl 79 74 82 -8 6.0 -
6 Dawn Surprise 73 79 76 +3 6.0 -
7 Twinklelittlestar 70 66 77 -11 0.0 -
8 Fabulous 78 76 94 -18 0.0 -
9 Aisling 70 66 69 -3 8.5 -
99 Pilot Flame - 81 82 -1 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points