Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
My True Love
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 My True Love 4 60.0 1 0.00 12.0 52 52 52 +0 2 Ice Cap 3 60.0 2 0.25 10.5 62 55 55 -7 3 Queen Ofthe Palace 2 60.0 3 0.35 7.0 58 62 62 +4 4 Elusive Hunter 4 56.0 4 3.10 12.0 46 44 44 -2 5 Audacious 2 58.0 5 3.60 7.0 - 58 58 +58 6 Extraction 2 58.0 6 7.10 7.0 77 58 67 -10 7 Big Spender 3 58.5 7 12.10 10.5 - 52 52 +52 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My True Love Line | 52 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 12.0 | ||
| 2 | Ice Cap | 62 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Queen Ofthe Palace | 58 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Elusive Hunter | 46 | 50 | 44 | +6 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Audacious | - | 61 | 58 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Extraction | 77 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Big Spender | - | 30 | 52 | -22 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points