Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Emerald Green
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ubukhwebezana 4 57.5 1 0.00 12.0 73 73 73 +0 2 Magical View 3 55.5 2 1.20 10.5 83 72 73 -10 3 Emerald Green 4 55.0 3 3.40 12.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Time For Charity 5 53.0 4 4.10 0.0 64 88 88 +24 5 Rugger Lover 2 59.0 5 4.60 7.0 76 86 86 +10 6 Chelsea Flower 6 58.0 6 5.30 0.0 74 98 98 +24 7 Lucrative 2 56.0 7 6.20 7.0 84 80 80 -4 8 Rani Of Jhansi 3 56.5 8 6.40 10.5 79 74 74 -5 9 Calling All Angels 2 52.5 9 6.90 7.0 62 73 73 +11 10 Ethereal View 3 55.0 10 8.00 10.5 82 71 72 -10 11 Grey Fantacy 3 57.0 11 9.10 10.5 86 75 76 -10 12 Electra Green 2 57.0 12 9.35 7.0 72 82 82 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ubukhwebezana | 73 | 93 | 73 | +20 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Magical View | 83 | 88 | 73 | +15 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Emerald Green Line | 68 | 75 | 68 | +7 | 12.0 | ||
| 4 | Time For Charity | 64 | 61 | 88 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rugger Lover | 76 | 79 | 86 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Chelsea Flower | 74 | 77 | 98 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lucrative | 84 | 98 | 80 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rani Of Jhansi | 79 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Calling All Angels | 62 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ethereal View | 82 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Grey Fantacy | 86 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 12 | Electra Green | 72 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points