Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: EPOL-ARNE BOTHA MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Euphoric
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 My Best Shot 3 59.5 1 0.00 8.5 96 61 96 +0 2 Valerias Dream 3 60.0 2 0.25 8.5 80 62 70 -10 3 Euphoric 6 57.5 3 1.00 0.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Travel Master 4 56.5 4 1.50 6.0 72 63 63 -9 5 Globetonic 6 56.5 5 3.25 0.0 73 74 74 +1 6 Prophet 2 59.0 6 4.50 0.0 78 77 77 -1 7 Path Of Choice 5 57.0 7 6.25 0.0 74 73 73 -1 8 Purple Operator 3 57.0 8 7.50 8.5 74 56 64 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My Best Shot | 96 | 116 | 96 | +20 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Valerias Dream | 80 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Euphoric Line | 78 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Travel Master | 72 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Globetonic | 73 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Prophet | 78 | 66 | 77 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Path Of Choice | 74 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Purple Operator | 74 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points