Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 65 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Fate Of Fortune
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Masterbling          3    54.0    1    0.00     10.5  53    53           53    +0
2    Fate Of Fortune      3    60.0    2    2.10     10.5  65    65           65    +0
3    Arverni Princess     2    58.5    3    4.10     7.0   62    69           69    +7
4    Vision Of Will       3    57.0    4    5.00     10.5  67    59           59    -8
5    Drive By             6    55.0    5    5.30     0.0   63    76           76    +13
6    Granddaddy Purple    3    48.5    6    6.20     10.5  50    42           42    -8
7    Anotherdayinafrica   6    54.0    7    6.40     0.0   53    74           74    +21
8    Stroke Of Mercy      5    61.0    8    6.90     0.0   67    88           88    +21
9    King Harry           4    56.5    9    7.80     12.0  58    55           55    -3
10   Plettenberg          3    59.5    10   8.10     10.5  67    64           64    -3
11   Mac Hardy            4    57.0    11   20.50    12.0  59    56           56    -3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Masterbling 53 74 53 +21 10.5 -
2 Fate Of Fortune Line 65 77 65 +12 10.5
3 Arverni Princess 62 67 69 -2 7.0 -
4 Vision Of Will 67 66 59 +7 10.5 -
5 Drive By 63 68 76 -8 0.0 -
6 Granddaddy Purple 50 50 42 +8 10.5 -
7 Anotherdayinafrica 53 49 74 -25 0.0 -
8 Stroke Of Mercy 67 52 88 -36 0.0 -
9 King Harry 58 55 55 ✓ Match 12.0 -
10 Plettenberg 67 59 64 -5 10.5 -
11 Mac Hardy 59 64 56 +8 12.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points