Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 24 AUGUST FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Princess Ilaria
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cerulean Dancer 2 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 68 64 68 +0 2 Green Bubbles 2 53.5 2 0.25 0.0 64 60 60 -4 3 Princess Ilaria 5 59.5 3 1.25 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Courageous 4 58.0 4 1.50 7.0 74 58 64 -10 5 Doitwithdiamonds 4 60.0 5 4.25 7.0 78 60 68 -10 6 Que Ceu Azul 2 58.5 6 6.25 0.0 74 70 70 -4 7 Grecian Palace 2 54.0 7 7.75 0.0 66 61 61 -5 8 Jj's Eagle 2 55.0 8 8.50 0.0 68 63 63 -5 9 Gal Gadot 8 52.0 9 26.00 0.0 50 57 57 +7 99 Solo Diva 3 54.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 43 43 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerulean Dancer | 68 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Green Bubbles | 64 | 66 | 60 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Princess Ilaria Line | 76 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Courageous | 74 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Doitwithdiamonds | 78 | 99 | 68 | +31 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Que Ceu Azul | 74 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Grecian Palace | 66 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jj's Eagle | 68 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gal Gadot | 50 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Solo Diva | - | 65 | 43 | +22 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points