Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Rafeef's Choice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Emerald Green        4    58.5    1    0.00     12.0  67    43           67    +0
2    Colorado Creek       4    60.0    2    1.80     12.0  70    46           60    -10
3    Rafeef's Choice      5    61.0    3    2.00     0.0   72    72           72    +0
4    Aspoestertjie        5    59.0    4    2.10     0.0   71    68           68    -3
5    The Queen Bee        4    59.0    5    3.10     12.0  68    44           58    -10
6    She's A Machine      2    59.0    6    3.30     7.0   82    54           72    -10
7    Spirited Flight      5    55.0    7    5.90     0.0   60    60           60    +0
8    Time For Charity     5    56.5    8    6.70     0.0   63    63           63    +0
9    Miss Gibson          3    54.0    9    8.00     10.5  58    37           48    -10
10   Princess Hannah      4    60.5    10   10.20    12.0  71    47           61    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Emerald Green 67 75 67 +8 12.0 -
2 Colorado Creek 70 80 60 +20 12.0 -
3 Rafeef's Choice Line 72 71 72 -1 0.0
4 Aspoestertjie 71 68 68 ✓ Match 0.0 -
5 The Queen Bee 68 53 58 -5 12.0 -
6 She's A Machine 82 85 72 +13 7.0 -
7 Spirited Flight 60 61 60 +1 0.0 -
8 Time For Charity 63 61 63 -2 0.0 -
9 Miss Gibson 58 56 48 +8 10.5 -
10 Princess Hannah 71 93 61 +32 12.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points