Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 29 AUGUST FM 65 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Annewithan E
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Twostep Queen 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 83 63 83 +0 2 Annewithan E 2 59.0 2 1.50 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Ginger Delight 3 60.0 3 2.25 9.0 83 48 73 -10 4 Count Your Chances 5 54.0 4 3.75 0.0 53 52 52 -1 5 Free In Seattle 3 60.0 5 4.25 9.0 83 46 73 -10 6 Can't Catch Me 5 53.0 6 9.75 0.0 51 49 49 -2 7 Angelofthemorning 3 52.0 7 10.75 9.0 48 29 38 -10 8 Bad Hair Day 2 52.5 8 12.00 0.0 50 48 48 -2 9 Leonessa 2 56.0 9 12.25 0.0 58 55 55 -3 10 Summerland 5 48.5 10 15.50 0.0 50 40 40 -10 99 Beguiling 3 52.5 99 0.00 9.0 - 30 30 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twostep Queen | 83 | 101 | 83 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Annewithan E Line | 64 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Ginger Delight | 83 | 85 | 73 | +12 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Count Your Chances | 53 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Free In Seattle | 83 | 89 | 73 | +16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Can't Catch Me | 51 | 58 | 49 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Angelofthemorning | 48 | 48 | 38 | +10 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bad Hair Day | 50 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Leonessa | 58 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Summerland | 50 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Beguiling | - | 50 | 30 | +20 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points