Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 31 AUGUST FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Mighty Goddess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ariel's Jet 3 59.5 1 0.00 10.0 76 54 76 +0 2 Mighty Goddess 2 60.0 2 0.25 0.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Party Punch 3 53.5 3 2.00 10.0 82 45 72 -10 4 Teo Torriatte 4 57.0 4 3.75 7.0 71 56 61 -10 5 Play With Fire 4 57.0 5 3.80 7.0 71 56 61 -10 6 Pretty In Pearls 3 58.0 6 3.85 10.0 71 52 61 -10 7 Last Ginger 4 57.5 7 16.50 7.0 72 56 62 -10 8 Cantfoolme 2 55.5 8 18.50 0.0 66 66 66 +0 9 Springer 2 59.0 9 99.99 0.0 75 73 73 -2 99 Silver Parasol 3 55.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 46 46 +0 99 Sensoria 3 54.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 44 44 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariel's Jet | 76 | 69 | 76 | -7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mighty Goddess Line | 75 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Party Punch | 82 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 10.0 | - | |
| 4 | Teo Torriatte | 71 | 94 | 61 | +33 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Play With Fire | 71 | 79 | 61 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pretty In Pearls | 71 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Last Ginger | 72 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cantfoolme | 66 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Springer | 75 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silver Parasol | - | 79 | 46 | +33 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sensoria | - | 84 | 44 | +40 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points