Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Apex Predator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Immah 3 58.0 1 0.00 10.5 - 75 6 +6 2 Apex Predator 4 60.0 2 0.30 12.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Rosa Osiria 3 55.5 3 3.40 10.5 76 70 70 -6 4 Railroad 2 58.5 4 5.00 7.0 66 83 83 +17 5 Chakpori 3 55.5 5 5.50 10.5 65 70 70 +5 6 Fine Dining 3 54.0 6 7.10 10.5 - 67 67 +67 7 Strategic Point 2 58.0 7 7.90 7.0 72 82 82 +10 8 La Maddalena 3 55.5 8 8.00 10.5 - 70 70 +70 9 Bomber Stream 4 56.0 9 9.20 12.0 66 68 68 +2 10 Isiqalaba 3 56.0 10 9.40 10.5 55 71 71 +16 11 Mo King 2 60.0 11 9.60 7.0 71 86 86 +15 12 The Iron Duke 3 58.0 12 12.40 10.5 - 75 75 +75 13 I Am Classy 3 58.0 13 14.50 10.5 - 75 75 +75 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Immah | - | 82 | 6 | +76 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Apex Predator Line | 76 | 69 | 76 | -7 | 12.0 | ||
| 3 | Rosa Osiria | 76 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 10.5 | - | |
| 4 | Railroad | 66 | 60 | 83 | -23 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chakpori | 65 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Fine Dining | - | 66 | 67 | -1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Strategic Point | 72 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | La Maddalena | - | 71 | 70 | +1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Bomber Stream | 66 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 12.0 | - | |
| 10 | Isiqalaba | 55 | 55 | 71 | -16 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Mo King | 71 | 66 | 86 | -20 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | The Iron Duke | - | 64 | 75 | -11 | 10.5 | - | |
| 13 | I Am Classy | - | 67 | 75 | -8 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points