Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BETONTAB.CO.ZA MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mufasa
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Seemyvision 5 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 89 94 89 +0 2 Mufasa 6 58.5 2 0.45 0.0 98 98 98 +0 3 Irfaans Boy 3 54.5 3 0.50 3.5 90 83 83 -7 4 Retallick 3 58.0 4 2.00 3.5 97 90 90 -7 5 Kings Road 5 60.5 5 10.25 0.0 97 102 102 +5 99 Cold Fact 3 55.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 84 84 +0 99 Tuscan Winter 4 54.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seemyvision | 89 | 89 | 89 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mufasa Line | 98 | 98 | 98 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Irfaans Boy | 90 | 90 | 83 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Retallick | 97 | 96 | 90 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Kings Road | 97 | 79 | 102 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cold Fact | - | 109 | 84 | +25 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tuscan Winter | - | 90 | 81 | +9 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points