Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 78 & below)
Line Horse
Xplicit Content
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 O'Tenikwa 3 60.0 1 0.00 10.5 89 77 77 -12 1 Swift Action 3 60.0 1 0.00 10.5 75 77 77 +2 3 William West 2 57.0 3 0.50 7.0 67 78 78 +11 4 Xplicit Content 4 51.0 4 0.60 12.0 56 56 56 +0 5 All About Al 7 61.5 5 0.90 0.0 78 101 101 +23 6 Kaiboy 2 61.5 6 1.40 7.0 92 87 87 -5 7 Monumental 2 60.0 7 1.80 7.0 75 84 84 +9 8 Bluff On Bluff 3 60.0 8 2.10 10.5 74 77 77 +3 9 Si Veloce 4 53.0 9 2.85 12.0 65 60 60 -5 99 King Of Spin 3 61.5 99 0.00 10.5 - 80 80 +0 99 Night Tiger 5 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 101 101 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O'Tenikwa | 89 | 121 | 77 | +44 | 10.5 | - | |
| 1 | Swift Action | 75 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | William West | 67 | 51 | 78 | -27 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Xplicit Content Line | 56 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 12.0 | ||
| 5 | All About Al | 78 | 78 | 101 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Kaiboy | 92 | 108 | 87 | +21 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Monumental | 75 | 71 | 84 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bluff On Bluff | 74 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Si Veloce | 65 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 12.0 | - | |
| 99 | King Of Spin | - | 91 | 80 | +11 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Night Tiger | - | 67 | 101 | -34 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points