Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: FOLLOWING CAPE RACING ON SOCIAL MEDIA MIDDLE STAKES (F & M) (For F & M with a nett rating of 102 & below)
Line Horse
Winter Rainfall
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Southern Skies 3 57.0 1 0.00 8.0 89 85 85 -4 2 Winter Rainfall 4 58.5 2 0.20 5.0 94 94 94 +0 3 Kyalami Girl 2 57.0 3 0.25 0.0 90 101 101 +11 4 Miss Marguerite 5 58.5 4 0.75 0.0 92 108 108 +16 5 Girl Like Us 4 55.5 5 0.80 5.0 84 92 92 +8 6 Lady Look Alike 4 55.5 6 2.30 5.0 86 90 90 +4 7 My Flower Fate 3 57.0 7 2.40 8.0 87 87 87 +0 8 Unconquerable Lady 2 60.0 8 3.65 0.0 97 108 108 +11 9 Night Vigil 4 55.5 9 5.65 5.0 86 88 88 +2 10 Easy Living 2 55.5 10 6.65 0.0 85 98 98 +13 11 Japanese Rose 3 58.5 11 8.15 8.0 92 88 88 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Skies | 89 | 97 | 85 | +12 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter Rainfall Line | 94 | 87 | 94 | -7 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Kyalami Girl | 90 | 88 | 101 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Miss Marguerite | 92 | 91 | 108 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Girl Like Us | 84 | 80 | 92 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Look Alike | 86 | 77 | 90 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | My Flower Fate | 87 | 86 | 87 | -1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Unconquerable Lady | 97 | 90 | 108 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Night Vigil | 86 | 91 | 88 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Easy Living | 85 | 52 | 98 | -46 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Japanese Rose | 92 | 80 | 88 | -8 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points