Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mar Del Plata
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Teriyaki 4 58.5 1 0.00 11.0 73 64 73 +0 2 Lazy Guy 4 48.0 2 0.20 11.0 59 43 49 -10 3 Mar Del Plata 2 59.0 3 0.95 6.5 74 74 74 +0 4 Stars In Heaven 2 59.0 4 1.55 6.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Now I Got You 5 58.5 5 1.95 0.0 73 86 86 +13 6 Imperial Power 4 56.5 6 2.55 11.0 69 60 60 -9 7 Teatime Tipple 2 60.5 7 2.95 6.5 77 77 77 +0 8 Iron Will 4 58.5 8 4.25 11.0 73 64 64 -9 9 Happy Wanderer 5 49.0 9 4.75 0.0 62 67 67 +5 10 Music Is Life 2 59.0 10 5.05 6.5 74 74 74 +0 11 Copper John 4 58.0 11 5.75 11.0 72 63 63 -9 12 Silver Savage 2 60.5 12 6.75 6.5 77 77 77 +0 13 Gimme A Rainbow 4 59.5 13 9.55 11.0 75 66 66 -9 99 Siberian Winter 3 55.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teriyaki | 73 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 11.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lazy Guy | 59 | 61 | 49 | +12 | 11.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mar Del Plata Line | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 6.5 | ||
| 4 | Stars In Heaven | 74 | 87 | 74 | +13 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Now I Got You | 73 | 67 | 86 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Imperial Power | 69 | 89 | 60 | +29 | 11.0 | - | |
| 7 | Teatime Tipple | 77 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | Iron Will | 73 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 11.0 | - | |
| 9 | Happy Wanderer | 62 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Music Is Life | 74 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 11 | Copper John | 72 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 11.0 | - | |
| 12 | Silver Savage | 77 | 52 | 77 | -25 | 6.5 | - | |
| 13 | Gimme A Rainbow | 75 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 11.0 | - | |
| 99 | Siberian Winter | - | 79 | 60 | +19 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points