Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CAPE D STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares with a nett rating of 64 & below)
Line Horse
True Horizon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jet Green 4 56.0 1 0.00 5.0 56 51 51 -5 2 Hang Out The Stars 5 58.5 2 1.00 0.0 58 70 70 +12 3 True Horizon 4 55.0 3 1.05 5.0 53 53 53 +0 4 United We Stand 3 56.0 4 1.80 8.0 55 48 48 -7 5 Beneath The Moon 2 61.5 5 2.00 0.0 62 75 75 +13 6 Black Path 6 55.5 6 2.75 0.0 50 62 62 +12 7 Shout At The Moon 3 53.0 7 5.00 8.0 50 39 40 -10 8 Apple Catcher 3 60.0 8 12.00 8.0 60 53 53 -7 9 Gondolaonthemolo 2 51.5 9 13.25 0.0 60 52 52 -8 10 Look Forward 3 57.5 10 99.99 8.0 58 48 48 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jet Green | 56 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hang Out The Stars | 58 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | True Horizon Line | 53 | 60 | 53 | +7 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | United We Stand | 55 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Beneath The Moon | 62 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Black Path | 50 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Shout At The Moon | 50 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Apple Catcher | 60 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gondolaonthemolo | 60 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Look Forward | 58 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points