Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CAPE D STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares with a nett rating of 64 & below)

Line Horse
True Horizon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Jet Green            4    56.0    1    0.00     5.0   56    51           51    -5
2    Hang Out The Stars   5    58.5    2    1.00     0.0   58    70           70    +12
3    True Horizon         4    55.0    3    1.05     5.0   53    53           53    +0
4    United We Stand      3    56.0    4    1.80     8.0   55    48           48    -7
5    Beneath The Moon     2    61.5    5    2.00     0.0   62    75           75    +13
6    Black Path           6    55.5    6    2.75     0.0   50    62           62    +12
7    Shout At The Moon    3    53.0    7    5.00     8.0   50    39           40    -10
8    Apple Catcher        3    60.0    8    12.00    8.0   60    53           53    -7
9    Gondolaonthemolo     2    51.5    9    13.25    0.0   60    52           52    -8
10   Look Forward         3    57.5    10   99.99    8.0   58    48           48    -10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Jet Green 56 54 51 +3 5.0 -
2 Hang Out The Stars 58 58 70 -12 0.0 -
3 True Horizon Line 53 60 53 +7 5.0
4 United We Stand 55 50 48 +2 8.0 -
5 Beneath The Moon 62 59 75 -16 0.0 -
6 Black Path 50 58 62 -4 0.0 -
7 Shout At The Moon 50 45 40 +5 8.0 -
8 Apple Catcher 60 50 53 -3 8.0 -
9 Gondolaonthemolo 60 55 52 +3 0.0 -
10 Look Forward 58 50 48 +2 8.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points