Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: SENOR SANTA STAKES (Grade 2) (Open)
Line Horse
Captain Oupie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Smorgasbord 6 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 106 108 108 +2 2 Warrior's Rest 7 56.0 2 0.50 0.0 107 116 116 +9 3 Under Your Spell 3 53.5 3 1.00 3.5 115 104 105 -10 4 True To Life 5 55.5 4 1.50 0.0 115 115 115 +0 5 Captain Oupie 4 54.0 5 2.00 4.0 104 104 104 +0 6 Hello Winter Hello 5 55.5 6 2.25 0.0 114 115 115 +1 7 Sweet Future 4 53.5 7 2.30 4.0 110 103 103 -7 8 Ultra Magnus 6 60.0 8 3.00 0.0 118 124 124 +6 9 Anna Capri 4 55.5 9 3.10 4.0 112 107 107 -5 10 Celestial Love 4 55.5 10 4.75 4.0 116 107 107 -9 11 Mr Flood 6 60.0 11 5.25 0.0 120 124 124 +4 12 Ikigai 8 56.0 12 6.75 0.0 110 116 116 +6 13 Vaseem 5 54.0 13 7.75 0.0 105 112 112 +7 14 Gallic Princess 5 55.5 14 8.75 0.0 115 115 115 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smorgasbord | 106 | 77 | 108 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Warrior's Rest | 107 | 101 | 116 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Under Your Spell | 115 | 113 | 105 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | True To Life | 115 | 116 | 115 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Captain Oupie Line | 104 | 94 | 104 | -10 | 4.0 | ||
| 6 | Hello Winter Hello | 114 | 112 | 115 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sweet Future | 110 | 110 | 103 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ultra Magnus | 118 | 98 | 124 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Anna Capri | 112 | 107 | 107 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Celestial Love | 116 | 113 | 107 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mr Flood | 120 | 120 | 124 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Ikigai | 110 | 91 | 116 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Vaseem | 105 | 94 | 112 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Gallic Princess | 115 | 115 | 115 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points