Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: BETWAY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Green Sceptre
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fast Duty 3 59.5 1 0.00 8.5 65 43 65 +0 2 Guerilla Warfare 3 61.5 2 0.75 8.5 86 51 76 -10 3 Green Sceptre 2 52.5 3 1.25 0.0 50 50 50 +0 4 Written In Stone 9 56.5 4 1.50 0.0 59 57 57 -2 5 Bob Lee Swagger 4 55.0 5 2.25 6.0 62 42 52 -10 6 Sail The Sky 4 59.0 6 3.25 6.0 65 49 55 -10 7 Captain Jim 3 59.5 7 4.00 8.5 66 44 56 -10 8 Kittyboys Girl 2 57.0 8 5.75 0.0 60 55 55 -5 9 Miraculous Man 3 52.0 9 6.00 8.5 49 28 39 -10 10 Southern Style 5 57.5 10 7.25 0.0 61 56 56 -5 99 Breath Of Magic 4 57.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 44 44 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fast Duty | 65 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Guerilla Warfare | 86 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Green Sceptre Line | 50 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Written In Stone | 59 | 67 | 57 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bob Lee Swagger | 62 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sail The Sky | 65 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captain Jim | 66 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Kittyboys Girl | 60 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Miraculous Man | 49 | 45 | 39 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Southern Style | 61 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Breath Of Magic | - | 60 | 44 | +16 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points