Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: BETWAY WELCOMES YOU WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
War Sword
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 War Sword 4 60.0 1 0.00 11.0 68 68 68 +0 2 Flash Lightning 4 60.0 2 1.25 11.0 67 68 68 +1 3 Lucky Spirit 3 58.0 3 1.35 9.5 68 67 67 -1 4 Dynamite Jet 6 60.0 4 4.10 0.0 - 90 90 +90 5 Hat Man 4 60.0 5 8.35 11.0 55 68 68 +13 6 Alley Of Fact 2 60.0 6 9.10 6.5 50 77 77 +27 7 Gotcha Buzz 2 57.5 7 9.60 6.5 60 72 72 +12 99 Ponte Vecchio 2 57.5 99 0.00 6.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Queen Ofthe Palace 2 57.5 99 0.00 6.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Extraction 2 55.5 99 0.00 6.5 - 68 68 +0 99 Dancing In Winter 4 57.5 99 0.00 11.0 - 63 63 +0 99 First Lord 2 58.0 99 0.00 6.5 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | War Sword Line | 68 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 11.0 | ||
| 2 | Flash Lightning | 67 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 11.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lucky Spirit | 68 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Dynamite Jet | - | 43 | 90 | -47 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Hat Man | 55 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 11.0 | - | |
| 6 | Alley Of Fact | 50 | 53 | 77 | -24 | 6.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gotcha Buzz | 60 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ponte Vecchio | - | 56 | 72 | -16 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Queen Ofthe Palace | - | 56 | 72 | -16 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Extraction | - | 54 | 68 | -14 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Dancing In Winter | - | 70 | 63 | +7 | 11.0 | - | |
| 99 | First Lord | - | 70 | 73 | -3 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points