Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MIDDLE STAKES (F & M) (For F & M with a nett rating of 102 & below)
Line Horse
Miss Marguerite
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Nordic Quest 2 60.0 1 0.00 6.5 97 81 81 -16 2 The Charleston 2 55.5 2 2.25 6.5 85 72 75 -10 3 Miss Marguerite 5 58.5 3 2.45 0.0 91 91 91 +0 4 Oni San 2 58.5 4 2.75 6.5 91 78 81 -10 5 Porque Te Vas 5 57.0 5 4.00 0.0 87 88 88 +1 6 Lady Look Alike 4 55.5 6 4.50 11.0 85 63 75 -10 7 Bomber Girl 4 57.0 7 5.50 11.0 91 66 81 -10 8 Night Vigil 4 55.5 8 5.70 11.0 86 63 76 -10 9 Blue Holly 4 58.5 9 6.10 11.0 91 69 81 -10 10 Bonne Bouche 2 54.5 10 8.35 6.5 80 70 70 -10 99 Kythera 2 57.0 99 0.00 6.5 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nordic Quest | 97 | 101 | 81 | +20 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | The Charleston | 85 | 83 | 75 | +8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 3 | Miss Marguerite Line | 91 | 91 | 91 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Oni San | 91 | 78 | 81 | -3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Porque Te Vas | 87 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Look Alike | 85 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 11.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bomber Girl | 91 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 11.0 | - | |
| 8 | Night Vigil | 86 | 91 | 76 | +15 | 11.0 | - | |
| 9 | Blue Holly | 91 | 85 | 81 | +4 | 11.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bonne Bouche | 80 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Kythera | - | 87 | 75 | +12 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points