Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: BETWAY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bregardt
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Karate Kid 3 61.0 1 0.00 9.5 89 78 89 +0 2 Blaze A Way 2 59.5 2 0.90 6.5 86 81 81 -5 3 Bregardt 4 57.0 3 2.25 11.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Johnny Appleseed 2 60.0 4 2.35 6.5 87 82 82 -5 5 Sea Shanty 4 58.5 5 3.45 11.0 76 70 70 -6 6 Axel Collins 5 56.5 6 3.75 0.0 67 88 88 +21 7 Alone Time 4 60.0 7 5.25 11.0 74 73 73 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karate Kid | 89 | 103 | 89 | +14 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Blaze A Way | 86 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 3 | Bregardt Line | 67 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 11.0 | ||
| 4 | Johnny Appleseed | 87 | 90 | 82 | +8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Sea Shanty | 76 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 11.0 | - | |
| 6 | Axel Collins | 67 | 55 | 88 | -33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Alone Time | 74 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points