Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: OPEN A TABGOLD ACCOUNT - 031 314 1874 FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Avernian Goddess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 She's A Machine 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 95 81 +0 2 The Queen Bee 4 57.5 2 0.40 5.0 64 88 88 +24 3 Avernian Goddess 3 60.0 3 2.40 8.0 84 84 84 +0 4 Princess Palace 3 59.0 4 3.45 8.0 82 81 81 -1 5 Pretty Analia 5 56.5 5 3.85 0.0 61 92 92 +31 6 Perfect Trust 7 54.0 6 4.25 0.0 59 87 87 +28 7 Bosnay 4 60.5 7 7.05 5.0 70 89 89 +19 8 She's A Bomber 3 58.5 8 7.55 8.0 81 79 79 -2 9 Aspoestertjie 5 61.0 9 9.05 0.0 70 100 100 +30 10 Mystique Rouge 3 53.5 10 10.35 8.0 55 69 69 +14 99 Purple Flower 3 57.5 99 0.00 8.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | She's A Machine | 81 | 85 | 81 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | The Queen Bee | 64 | 53 | 88 | -35 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Avernian Goddess Line | 84 | 91 | 84 | +7 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Princess Palace | 82 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pretty Analia | 61 | 61 | 92 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Perfect Trust | 59 | 50 | 87 | -37 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bosnay | 70 | 74 | 89 | -15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | She's A Bomber | 81 | 100 | 79 | +21 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Aspoestertjie | 70 | 68 | 100 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mystique Rouge | 55 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Purple Flower | - | 74 | 77 | -3 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points