Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: REMEMBERING GAVIN ALMANZA CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 78 & below)
Line Horse
O'Tenikwa
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Twentytwentyvision 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 70 98 76 +6 2 Dawn Till Dusk 2 58.5 2 0.30 0.0 86 105 105 +19 3 O'Tenikwa 3 60.0 3 1.05 8.0 91 91 91 +0 4 Monumental 2 60.0 4 1.10 0.0 75 107 107 +32 5 Kelp Forest 5 61.5 5 2.60 0.0 78 108 108 +30 6 Air Raid 2 61.5 6 2.90 0.0 92 108 108 +16 7 Bank Street 3 57.0 7 3.65 8.0 84 82 82 -2 8 Wissa's On Fire 4 61.5 8 4.15 5.0 79 97 97 +18 9 Tsunami Warning 3 60.0 9 4.45 8.0 75 87 87 +12 10 Definitely Yes 2 60.0 10 4.50 0.0 89 103 103 +14 11 Turbo Boost 2 58.5 11 4.90 0.0 73 100 100 +27 12 Grand Bay 2 61.5 12 5.40 0.0 77 106 106 +29 13 Worldly 2 60.0 13 10.40 0.0 89 103 103 +14 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twentytwentyvision | 70 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dawn Till Dusk | 86 | 94 | 105 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | O'Tenikwa Line | 91 | 121 | 91 | +30 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Monumental | 75 | 71 | 107 | -36 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kelp Forest | 78 | 81 | 108 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Air Raid | 92 | 95 | 108 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bank Street | 84 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Wissa's On Fire | 79 | 71 | 97 | -26 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tsunami Warning | 75 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Definitely Yes | 89 | 71 | 103 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Turbo Boost | 73 | 68 | 100 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Grand Bay | 77 | 74 | 106 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Worldly | 89 | 78 | 103 | -25 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points