Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Grue Of Ice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Veronique 6 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 54 52 52 -2 2 Ticket To Vegas 2 59.5 2 0.30 0.0 66 67 67 +1 3 Grue Of Ice 6 59.5 3 1.55 0.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Why Not Jackie 5 57.5 4 1.65 0.0 61 61 61 +0 5 Look Forward 3 55.0 5 2.15 8.0 56 40 46 -10 6 Gusto Girl 3 53.5 6 2.35 8.0 53 36 43 -10 7 On Board 3 60.0 7 3.10 8.0 66 49 56 -10 8 Royal Lytham 4 60.0 8 4.60 5.0 67 53 57 -10 9 Black Path 6 52.0 9 8.60 0.0 50 47 47 -3 10 Beneath The Moon 2 58.0 10 11.85 0.0 62 59 59 -3 11 Si Veloce 4 57.0 11 12.60 5.0 60 47 50 -10 12 Jet Green 4 55.5 12 20.60 5.0 58 44 48 -10 13 Becky Sharp 4 60.5 13 99.99 5.0 68 54 58 -10 99 Electric Feels 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 47 47 +0 99 Alessia Asheville 3 55.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 37 37 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronique | 54 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ticket To Vegas | 66 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Grue Of Ice Line | 65 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Why Not Jackie | 61 | 65 | 61 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Look Forward | 56 | 50 | 46 | +4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gusto Girl | 53 | 50 | 43 | +7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | On Board | 66 | 66 | 56 | +10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Lytham | 67 | 69 | 57 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Black Path | 50 | 58 | 47 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Beneath The Moon | 62 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Si Veloce | 60 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Jet Green | 58 | 54 | 48 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Becky Sharp | 68 | 68 | 58 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Electric Feels | - | 57 | 47 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Alessia Asheville | - | 57 | 37 | +20 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points