Official NHA Assessment

Race 2: FOLLOW CAPE RACING ON SOCIAL MEDIA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Fencing Captain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Bagatelle Flash      2    59.0    1    0.00     5.5   81    84           84    +3
2    Cork Bay             3    59.0    2    0.20     8.5   -     78           78    +78
3    Fencing Captain      2    59.0    3    1.70     5.5   84    84           84    +0
4    Beautiful Winter     3    59.0    4    2.10     8.5   -     78           78    +78
5    Scottish Links       2    59.0    5    4.35     5.5   -     84           84    +84
6    Peanut Pops          4    60.0    6    5.85     10.0  55    77           77    +22
7    Blue Ribbon Day      3    59.0    7    9.10     8.5   -     78           78    +78
8    Krim                 2    59.0    8    9.30     5.5   85    84           84    -1
9    Royal Dawn           3    59.0    9    10.80    8.5   -     78           78    +78
10   New York City        3    59.0    10   11.20    8.5   -     78           78    +78
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Bagatelle Flash 81 84 84 ✓ Match 5.5 -
2 Cork Bay - 80 78 +2 8.5 -
3 Fencing Captain Line 84 76 84 -8 5.5
4 Beautiful Winter - 68 78 -10 8.5 -
5 Scottish Links - 70 84 -14 5.5 -
6 Peanut Pops 55 64 77 -13 10.0 -
7 Blue Ribbon Day - 80 78 +2 8.5 -
8 Krim 85 81 84 -3 5.5 -
9 Royal Dawn - 55 78 -23 8.5 -
10 New York City - 75 78 -3 8.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points