Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: BETWAY JOBURG SPRING F & M CHALLENGE (Grade 2) (For Fillies and Mares at Weight for age + Penalties)
Line Horse
Captain Peg
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Celtic Rumours 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 106 100 100 -6 2 Fiery Pegasus 3 52.0 2 0.25 8.0 104 68 94 -10 3 Captain Peg 5 60.0 3 1.15 0.0 104 104 104 +0 4 White Pearl 4 59.5 4 1.90 5.0 109 92 99 -10 5 Key Element 4 59.5 5 2.15 5.0 101 92 92 -9 6 Gimme A Shot 2 60.0 6 2.40 0.0 110 102 102 -8 7 Frozen Fantasy 3 52.0 7 3.00 8.0 102 70 92 -10 8 Blue Horizon 4 59.5 8 3.25 5.0 89 91 91 +2 9 Vj's Angel 3 54.0 9 4.75 8.0 111 72 101 -10 10 My Soul Mate 4 59.5 10 5.50 5.0 111 89 101 -10 11 Let's Go Now 4 59.5 11 6.20 5.0 114 89 104 -10 12 Sea Anemone 5 60.0 12 7.50 0.0 89 100 100 +11 13 Soldier's Eye 4 59.5 13 14.25 5.0 97 89 89 -8 99 Miss Hannigan 4 59.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 89 89 +0 99 Little Ballerina 2 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 86 86 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic Rumours | 106 | 104 | 100 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fiery Pegasus | 104 | 119 | 94 | +25 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Captain Peg Line | 104 | 100 | 104 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | White Pearl | 109 | 114 | 99 | +15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Key Element | 101 | 92 | 92 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gimme A Shot | 110 | 110 | 102 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Frozen Fantasy | 102 | 98 | 92 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blue Horizon | 89 | 84 | 91 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Vj's Angel | 111 | 114 | 101 | +13 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | My Soul Mate | 111 | 107 | 101 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Let's Go Now | 114 | 113 | 104 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Sea Anemone | 89 | 81 | 100 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Soldier's Eye | 97 | 94 | 89 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Hannigan | - | 100 | 89 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Little Ballerina | - | 104 | 86 | +18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points