Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: CELEBRATING CENTURION MEMBER ALEC FOSTER'S BIRTHDAY CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 96)
Line Horse
Future Turn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Infrared 3 60.5 1 0.00 8.0 98 77 77 -21 2 Future Turn 5 56.0 2 0.75 0.0 88 88 88 +0 3 Royal Invitation 5 55.5 3 0.85 0.0 87 87 87 +0 4 Fibonacci 2 54.0 4 1.60 0.0 85 83 83 -2 5 Blue Bay 3 54.5 5 1.80 8.0 86 68 76 -10 5 Nevada King 2 53.5 5 1.80 0.0 83 82 82 -1 7 Tyrion Lannister 2 57.0 7 2.55 0.0 90 88 88 -2 8 Pas De Nom 2 58.0 8 3.30 0.0 92 89 89 -3 9 Lightning Glow 2 57.5 9 3.50 0.0 92 88 88 -4 10 Green Mandarin 5 55.0 10 4.75 0.0 86 82 82 -4 11 Sail To The Moon 4 54.0 11 7.00 5.0 85 70 75 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Infrared | 98 | 101 | 77 | +24 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Future Turn Line | 88 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Royal Invitation | 87 | 99 | 87 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fibonacci | 85 | 73 | 83 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Blue Bay | 86 | 84 | 76 | +8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nevada King | 83 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tyrion Lannister | 90 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pas De Nom | 92 | 91 | 89 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lightning Glow | 92 | 92 | 88 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Green Mandarin | 86 | 83 | 82 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sail To The Moon | 85 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points