Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Spy Story
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pennsylvania 3 59.0 1 0.00 8.5 - 76 6 +6 2 Green Street 3 56.5 2 2.50 8.5 - 71 71 +71 3 Maverick Queen 3 56.5 3 4.75 8.5 - 71 71 +71 4 Spy Story 3 59.0 4 7.25 8.5 76 76 76 +0 5 Antonio Gaudi 2 59.0 5 7.30 5.5 79 82 82 +3 6 Summer Shade 4 60.0 6 8.75 10.0 61 75 75 +14 7 Rawalpindi 2 56.5 7 11.00 5.5 58 77 77 +19 8 Lloyd Wright 3 59.0 8 13.00 8.5 - 76 76 +76 9 Tokyo Medaglia 3 59.0 9 17.25 8.5 - 76 76 +76 10 Old Fashioned 3 59.0 10 17.50 8.5 - 76 76 +76 11 Bompas 4 60.0 11 18.25 10.0 40 75 75 +35 12 Big Boy Bruce 2 60.0 12 21.50 5.5 - 84 84 +84 13 Under The Rainbow 3 60.0 13 27.00 8.5 43 78 78 +35 14 Prince Of Miracles 2 59.0 14 30.25 5.5 61 82 82 +21 99 Quasikat 3 56.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pennsylvania | - | 94 | 6 | +88 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Green Street | - | 66 | 71 | -5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Maverick Queen | - | 76 | 71 | +5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Spy Story Line | 76 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 8.5 | ||
| 5 | Antonio Gaudi | 79 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | Summer Shade | 61 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Rawalpindi | 58 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 5.5 | - | |
| 8 | Lloyd Wright | - | 80 | 76 | +4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Tokyo Medaglia | - | 68 | 76 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Old Fashioned | - | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Bompas | 40 | 58 | 75 | -17 | 10.0 | - | |
| 12 | Big Boy Bruce | - | 76 | 84 | -8 | 5.5 | - | |
| 13 | Under The Rainbow | 43 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 8.5 | - | |
| 14 | Prince Of Miracles | 61 | 58 | 82 | -24 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Quasikat | - | 83 | 71 | +12 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points