Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 15 OCTOBER MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Captain Tik Tok
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Wordsworth           7    55.0    1    0.00     0.0   64    64           64    +0
2    Captain Tik Tok      5    60.0    2    0.50     0.0   74    74           74    +0
3    Fredericos Passion   3    58.0    3    1.25     8.5   81    53           71    -10
4    Marquez              3    58.5    4    2.25     8.5   71    54           61    -10
5    Strawberry Stinger   2    59.0    5    2.35     5.5   72    61           62    -10
6    Roomformanoeuvre     4    60.0    6    2.60     10.0  74    54           64    -10
7    Ravilious            3    59.5    7    2.65     8.5   84    56           74    -10
8    White Hills          2    60.0    8    4.40     5.5   74    63           64    -10
9    William The First    2    58.0    9    5.15     5.5   73    59           63    -10
9    Knockemstiff         2    56.0    9    5.15     5.5   66    55           56    -10
11   Resurgence           4    57.5    11   6.15     10.0  69    49           59    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Wordsworth 64 65 64 +1 0.0 -
2 Captain Tik Tok Line 74 72 74 -2 0.0
3 Fredericos Passion 81 70 71 -1 8.5 -
4 Marquez 71 69 61 +8 8.5 -
5 Strawberry Stinger 72 62 62 ✓ Match 5.5 -
6 Roomformanoeuvre 74 69 64 +5 10.0 -
7 Ravilious 84 81 74 +7 8.5 -
8 White Hills 74 66 64 +2 5.5 -
9 William The First 73 75 63 +12 5.5 -
9 Knockemstiff 66 65 56 +9 5.5 -
11 Resurgence 69 57 59 -2 10.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points