Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Irish Sea
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lord Marmite 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 56 61 61 +5 2 ChampagneSocialist 4 60.0 2 0.50 1.5 55 66 66 +11 3 Irish Sea 3 60.0 3 2.75 3.0 60 60 60 +0 4 St Patrick's Day 4 55.5 4 5.50 1.5 53 52 52 -1 5 Grace Lightning 3 57.0 5 6.00 3.0 64 52 54 -10 6 Super Fun 3 60.0 6 6.50 3.0 61 58 58 -3 7 Boy Named Sue 3 60.0 7 7.75 3.0 60 58 58 -2 8 Power Surge 3 60.0 8 10.00 3.0 - 58 58 +58 9 Freezing Fast 5 60.0 9 10.05 0.0 52 64 64 +12 10 Mr Linebreaker 3 60.0 10 13.80 3.0 65 58 58 -7 11 Zero Rate 5 60.0 11 15.80 0.0 55 64 64 +9 12 Twice The Dice 3 60.0 12 99.98 3.0 10 58 58 +48 99 Jacksonville 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lord Marmite | 56 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | ChampagneSocialist | 55 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Irish Sea Line | 60 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | St Patrick's Day | 53 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Grace Lightning | 64 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Super Fun | 61 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Boy Named Sue | 60 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Power Surge | - | 53 | 58 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Freezing Fast | 52 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mr Linebreaker | 65 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Zero Rate | 55 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Twice The Dice | 10 | 20 | 58 | -38 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Jacksonville | - | 65 | 58 | +7 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points