Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Water Dragon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Water Dragon 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 73 73 73 +0 2 Masterofthedesert 2 58.5 2 0.40 0.0 81 75 75 -6 3 Express Yourself 2 58.0 3 0.90 0.0 - 73 73 +73 4 Tunguska 3 58.0 4 3.40 7.0 - 56 56 +56 5 Mr Fox 3 58.0 5 3.50 7.0 - 56 56 +56 6 Sag Harbor 3 58.0 6 3.80 7.0 - 56 56 +56 7 Chief Runner 3 58.0 7 4.55 7.0 - 55 55 +55 8 Kaisarissa 3 58.0 8 4.95 7.0 - 55 55 +55 9 Southern Express 2 58.0 9 8.45 0.0 - 69 69 +69 10 What Again 3 58.0 10 8.85 7.0 - 55 55 +55 99 Dawn's Early Light 3 58.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Dragon Line | 73 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Masterofthedesert | 81 | 86 | 75 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Express Yourself | - | 74 | 73 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Tunguska | - | 69 | 56 | +13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mr Fox | - | 99 | 56 | +43 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sag Harbor | - | 64 | 56 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Chief Runner | - | 59 | 55 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kaisarissa | - | - | 55 | -55 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Southern Express | - | 52 | 69 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | What Again | - | 62 | 55 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dawn's Early Light | - | 72 | 55 | +17 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points