Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Total Surrender
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Eiger Sanction 3 57.0 1 0.00 9.0 80 60 80 +0 2 Total Surrender 5 60.0 2 0.15 0.0 84 84 84 +0 3 Moola Man 4 60.0 3 0.20 5.0 86 74 76 -10 4 Celtic Rush 5 56.0 4 1.10 0.0 76 80 80 +4 5 Royal Edition 4 59.5 5 3.60 5.0 85 74 75 -10 6 To The Rescue 4 56.0 6 4.35 5.0 78 66 68 -10 7 Black Lightning 2 52.0 7 4.85 0.0 68 68 68 +0 8 Pocket Watch 2 60.0 8 5.35 0.0 86 84 84 -2 9 Professor Snape 2 57.5 9 6.85 0.0 84 79 79 -5 10 Eiffel Tower 4 58.5 10 10.10 5.0 83 71 73 -10 11 Al Akhtaar 3 57.0 11 11.35 9.0 80 60 70 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eiger Sanction | 80 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Total Surrender Line | 84 | 74 | 84 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Moola Man | 86 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Celtic Rush | 76 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Royal Edition | 85 | 92 | 75 | +17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | To The Rescue | 78 | 82 | 68 | +14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Black Lightning | 68 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pocket Watch | 86 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Professor Snape | 84 | 68 | 79 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Eiffel Tower | 83 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Al Akhtaar | 80 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points