Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 24 OCTOBER MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Commander Of All
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Coming In Hot 3 54.5 1 0.00 8.5 71 62 71 +0 2 Commander Of All 2 54.0 2 4.00 5.5 67 67 67 +0 3 Alone Time 4 57.5 3 4.25 10.0 74 65 65 -9 4 Captain Efficient 2 58.5 4 5.50 5.5 71 76 76 +5 5 Phala Millions 4 52.5 5 5.75 10.0 64 55 55 -9 6 Vegas Hi Rise 6 58.0 6 6.50 0.0 78 86 86 +8 7 Little Miz Swagger 2 54.5 7 7.25 5.5 71 68 68 -3 8 Good To Great 3 56.0 8 8.25 8.5 74 65 65 -9 9 Warm Winter Nite 2 55.5 9 9.25 5.5 73 70 70 -3 10 Prized Platinum 3 48.5 10 23.75 8.5 59 50 50 -9 99 King Of Numbers 4 56.0 99 0.00 10.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Life Goes On 7 48.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 99 His Lordship 3 56.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 65 65 +0 99 Western Wishes 5 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coming In Hot | 71 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Commander Of All Line | 67 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 5.5 | ||
| 3 | Alone Time | 74 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 10.0 | - | |
| 4 | Captain Efficient | 71 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 5.5 | - | |
| 5 | Phala Millions | 64 | 66 | 55 | +11 | 10.0 | - | |
| 6 | Vegas Hi Rise | 78 | 71 | 86 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Little Miz Swagger | 71 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 5.5 | - | |
| 8 | Good To Great | 74 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Warm Winter Nite | 73 | 92 | 70 | +22 | 5.5 | - | |
| 10 | Prized Platinum | 59 | 72 | 50 | +22 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | King Of Numbers | - | 75 | 62 | +13 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Life Goes On | - | 54 | 66 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | His Lordship | - | 85 | 65 | +20 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Western Wishes | - | 74 | 77 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points