Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 18 MARCH FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Que Cosas
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Princess Of Winter 4 57.5 1 0.00 4.0 61 61 61 +0 2 Que Cosas 4 58.5 2 1.00 4.0 63 63 63 +0 3 Trippin The Stars 4 52.5 3 2.25 4.0 46 51 51 +5 4 Miss Venezuela 4 57.5 4 3.00 4.0 64 61 61 -3 5 Neverletugo 7 52.0 5 3.25 0.0 50 58 58 +8 6 Subterfuge 4 52.5 6 3.35 4.0 51 51 51 +0 7 Just The Wind 4 56.5 7 4.85 4.0 59 59 59 +0 8 Blindlove 3 59.0 8 5.10 3.5 69 65 65 -4 9 Sparkling Flame 3 58.0 9 7.35 3.5 67 63 63 -4 10 Under My Hat 3 57.0 10 10.60 3.5 65 61 61 -4 11 Grayswood Pink 3 57.5 11 11.85 3.5 66 62 62 -4 99 Flaming Lass 5 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 76 76 +0 99 Mendocino 5 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princess Of Winter | 61 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Que Cosas Line | 63 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Trippin The Stars | 46 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Miss Venezuela | 64 | 63 | 61 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Neverletugo | 50 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Subterfuge | 51 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Just The Wind | 59 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blindlove | 69 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Sparkling Flame | 67 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Under My Hat | 65 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Grayswood Pink | 66 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Flaming Lass | - | 65 | 76 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mendocino | - | 59 | 72 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points