Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES CAPE A STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Otto Luyken
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Baratheon 3 55.5 1 0.00 9.0 101 82 82 -19 2 Future Swing 2 60.0 2 1.75 0.0 110 112 112 +2 3 Otto Luyken 5 54.0 3 3.25 0.0 99 99 99 +0 4 Love Is A Rose 2 52.0 4 3.75 0.0 102 94 94 -8 5 Rapidash 2 58.5 5 12.50 0.0 109 106 106 -3 6 Pacaya 3 61.5 6 99.99 9.0 118 94 108 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baratheon | 101 | 106 | 82 | +24 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Future Swing | 110 | 116 | 112 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Otto Luyken Line | 99 | 116 | 99 | +17 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Love Is A Rose | 102 | 105 | 94 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rapidash | 109 | 107 | 106 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pacaya | 118 | 115 | 108 | +7 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points