Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MIDDLE STAKES (F & M) (For F & M with a nett rating of 102 & below)

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Line Horse
Highlyconfidential
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Be Merry             2    55.5    1    0.00     5.5   91    83           83    -8
2    Japanese Rose        3    58.5    2    3.25     8.5   88    83           83    -5
3    Highlyconfidential   2    58.5    3    4.00     5.5   89    89           89    +0
4    Kythera              2    58.5    4    4.30     5.5   90    89           89    -1
5    Porque Te Vas        5    57.0    5    6.55     0.0   86    97           97    +11
6    Lady Look Alike      4    57.0    6    6.95     10.0  83    77           77    -6
7    Miss Marguerite      5    60.0    7    7.00     0.0   91    103          103   +12
8    Sahara Cat           3    58.5    8    7.40     8.5   100   83           90    -10
9    Bomber Girl          4    58.5    9    11.65    10.0  87    80           80    -7
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Be Merry 91 104 83 +21 5.5 -
2 Japanese Rose 88 80 83 -3 8.5 -
3 Highlyconfidential Line 89 86 89 -3 5.5
4 Kythera 90 87 89 -2 5.5 -
5 Porque Te Vas 86 78 97 -19 0.0 -
6 Lady Look Alike 83 77 77 ✓ Match 10.0 -
7 Miss Marguerite 91 91 103 -12 0.0 -
8 Sahara Cat 100 79 90 -11 8.5 -
9 Bomber Girl 87 84 80 +4 10.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points